Question Type:
ID the Conclusion
Stimulus Breakdown:
A prediction is made about a potential change, and then a whole bunch of facts about temperature and fires/oil are brought up.
Answer Anticipation:
Predictions are often conclusions, since they generally need support to back up. The rest of these statements are facts, which are almost always premises. Therefore, that first statement is the conclusion.
Correct answer:
(A)
Answer choice analysis:
(A) Bingo.
(B) This is an aside the LSAT attached to the conclusion, not the conclusion itself. There's no support provided for this statement, so it can't be our conclusion.
(C) Premise.
(D) Premise.
(E) Unstated. If anything, this is the assumption underlying the argument.
Takeaway/Pattern:
Predictions tend to be conclusions. Facts (especially ones you could look up in a scientific chart) are almost always premises.
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