YANQINGJ738 Wrote:Why the answer is not E? I thought the reasoning is wrong because there can be other causes to profit decrease except for supplier switch. Thank you.
It is not "E" because "E" is not engaging with the structure (i.e. reasoning) of the argument .
The argument is reasoned by reversing a conditional relationship and is not reasoned through causality. "E" would be valid in this case ( I think) had the argument not used conditional statements in its premise to arrive at the conclusion. This is because we take the premise to be true where we know that IF suppliers are switched then no profits are realized. We take it as a fact that this relation holds.
Now had the argument then concluded that
Therefore suppliers switch cause no profits to be realized then E could be a valid answer because now it leaves open the possibility that there could be a third factor that caused both. For example, maybe there is a strong correlation between profits and suppliers switch but there is no causal relation between the two; rather, it could be a third hidden force . For example, maybe a recession causes both a supplier switch (e.g. recession leads to cost cutting and finding a cheaper suppler) and it also causes lower profits (e.g. people spend less); hence there is a correlation but no causation.
BUT, this is not how the argument is structured.
The argument concludes that if we see no profit then we know there was a supplier switch. It is true that there could be a third cause but that is not the primary flaw of the argument. The primary flaw is an illegal reversal because the argument makes a conclusion not of causality but of saying if the premise's nesscary condition is triggered, we know the sufficient condition is triggered, which is what the credited reponse describes. In other words, the arugment assumes an "if and only if " relationship and only if we assume an "if only if" relation would the argument's conclusion be tenable. Also, it is also because the premise and the conclusion is a reversal of each other that we can eliminate "A" because it is no longer the same as they are reversed statements of each other but an attractive wrong answer.
Other Choices :
"C" --> Rarely the correct answer choice on flaws (word shift). Profit is not used differently here and profit is probably pretty hard to equivocate unless it is some nuanced esoteric corporate finance passage where there are different ways to measure profit
"D" --> Not an universal conclusion; the conclusion is still on the specific enterprise and not companies in general. Moreover, we do not if this was an EXCEPTIONAL ISOLATED case (i.e. the degree is concerning here)