The issue is that you've misinterpreted the first sentence.
Mikey Wrote:The first sentence of the stim says that cease-fire will be violated if negotiations don't begin soon.
What it really says is that "Unless negotiations begin soon, the cease-fire will be violated." If you put that it in "if/then" form, it would read, "If the cease fire has not been violated, then negotiations did begin soon." Given that we know that the negotiations did begin soon, we cannot say whether or not the cease-fire has been violated. We cannot reverse the logic of the conditional statement and infer anything from the fact that negotiations did begin soon.
Think of it this way...
If I live in New York City, then I live in New York State. But given that I live in New York State, does that then imply that I live in New York City? Not necessarily. That could be false.
Hope that helps!