by uhdang Tue Mar 31, 2015 11:42 pm
I was confused with two conclusions. I feel like this is NOT a intermediate conclusion leading to final conclusion but a combination of two arguments. First argument sort of sets a background knowledge to the second argument in a way. So, my core looks like:
(Sub-argument)
Volcanic lava magnetizes in the same direction as Earth’s magnetic field points when solidifies + differences in the direction of magnetization among solidified lava fro different volcanoes from different times over the past several million years.
==>
direction of the Earth’s magnetic field has changed over time.
(Main argument)
Lava flows differing by thousands of years in age often have very similar directions of magnetization
==>
change in the direction of the Earth’s magnetic field take place very gradually over hundreds of thousands of years.
@ Assumption analysis
The argument assumes that frequently showing very gradual change in magnetic field is the ONLY explanation for very similar directions of magnetization. What if magnetic field changes too often in various directions and it just happens to show gradual pattern in more frequently while the actual direction change occurs every second? (very unlikely, but who knows?) Since the question is asking for assumption from main argument, I didn't try looking for an assumption in sub-argument.
Now, let's get into the answer choices.
A) “only” here is a very strong language. We don’t even know the reason for concluding gradual change is definite. Narrowing it down to lava as the only reason is a hasty move. To verify it, negating this would read, "there is at least some other way than lava (not only lava) that can be used to measure the direction of the Earth's magnetic field as it existed in the distant past." -- and this has no impact on the conclusion. We are concerned with how fast Earth's magnetic field changes direction. Irrelevant.
B) If this is true, this would rather present a possibility to hurt the conclusion, because it would indicate a possible false dating for solidified lava. Who knows different elements in different lava could cause different dating? Some materials might record direction of magnetization even before solidifies, disrupting the conclusion.
C) While the conclusion advocates for gradual change, eliminating a possible unpredictability looks necessary. Negating this would read, all solidified lava has changed the direction of its magnetization unpredictably. If all of them are unpredictable, then we can’t establish the pattern with certainty, and concluding “gradual change” would be less reliable.
(On a side note, I am a bit hesitant to write a negation of "not all" to "all." is this right?)
D) How often is not our concern and has no influence on the conclusion. Irrelevant.
E) If this is true, solidified lava could show irregularities in magnetization. So, this would hurt a reliability of the data. Weakens.
"Fun"