by noah Thu Jun 03, 2010 9:38 am
I love this question for some reason.
The stimulus tells us that at those times that some crazy force of nature - like not having any rain - causes crops to fail, we'll see certain businesses (which are named) be unable to sell enough to make a profit.
We can infer (E) - it's provable. If we were to re-write it in the positive, it would read: the effects of a drought might go beyond its impact on a farm's productivity. We can agree with that, since the drought might impact those other businesses. It's a safe and easily defended answer - just the sort of thing a lawyer loves.
Now lets see which answer choice we can not infer...
(A) is reversed logic. Perhaps there's another reason that businesses don't do well - bad management, for example.
(B) is very tempting, however it's incorrect for several reasons. First, a few detail creeps:
- the stimulus tells us that these money problems occur when something like a LACK of rain occurs. (B) simply offers "below average" rainfall. Perhaps that's 1/100 of an inch below average and still enough to have the plants grow.
- the stimulus tells us about certain businesses, not all businesses that sell to farmers. Will pharmacies and insurance companies be hurt by this as well?
- the stimulus tells us that the affected businesses will be unable to make a profit. That doesn't mean they'll LOSE money. Perhaps they'll break even.
And then there's a more overarching problem. Let's imagine I were to tell you (or perhaps confess) that "When drinking too much causes me to act like a fool, I go home in shame." Does this mean drinking too much will cause me to act like a fool? No. It's WHEN drinking causes this foolishness that a lot of stuff will happen. Same thing here. Does a lack of rain definitely cause all those problems? No. Perhaps the farmer wakes us and waters the fields (says the New Yorker with no farming experience).
(C) is tempting, however it's out of scope since the stimulus never speaks about responsibility. Furthermore, we can be responsible for things over which we have no control -- kids! Perhaps the farmer forgot to water the fields.
(D) is a great big extrapolation. Economic crisis?!