by StratosM31 Fri May 14, 2021 6:51 am
Sorry, I might be wrong, but I’m really confused… I don’t agree with the reasoning in the comments regarding why A) is eliminated, and I still believe A is a better AC than D.
P: C has the simpler theory.
P: C thought P’s theory was unlikely to be true.
P: observational evidence was equally consistent.
C: C’s theory is superior to P’s theory, and it was also superior in the past.
If this question is treated as a pseudo-sufficient assumption question, we are asked to test each AC as a premise, and decide which one, if used as a premise, brings the argument most closely to being perfectly valid. Let’s compare A) and D) then:
A) If true, then this definitely leads me to the conclusion, and I can ignore the other two premises.
P: C has the simpler theory.
P: simplicity should be the sole deciding factor for choosing among competing scientific theories.
C: C’s theory is superior to P’s theory, and it was also superior in the past.
Whatever other premises I have now, they are irrelevant, as the two premises above are perfectly sufficient to lead me to the conclusion. If simplicity is the only criterion regarding superiority, and C is simpler than B, then C is superior to B, both now and in the past. Period. It doesn’t matter whether observational evidence was equally consistent or not, since, according to A, we assume that simplicity is the only criterion for superiority. An analogous example:
P: John is more talented in mathematics than Mike.
P: The school must choose one between John and Mike to be the representative for the next math tournament.
P: The sole criterion for the school to choose a representative should be talent in mathematics.
P: Compared to Mike, John is quite rude, fat and ugly.
P: Mike is more talented than John in all other subjects, except for mathematics.
C: The school chooses John over Mike.
The first three premises and the conclusion make this a perfectly valid argument, and we can ignore the last two premises, right?
D) I interpreted “other things being equal” as “all other things being equal”. We do not know whether ALL other things were equal. We ONLY know that the evidence of the two theories was equally consistent. Nowhere in the stimulus are we told that there are no other criteria besides simplicity and consistency of evidence.
The answer choice says, based on my interpretation, the following conditional statement: IF all other things are equal, THEN the more complex theory is the inferior one. But we don’t know whether the condition that all other things are equal is true…
Did I maybe misinterpret the question stem? Could you guys let me know what you think?